Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.005363 0.005942 0.006570 0.007304 0.008139 0.009064 0.010170
2025-07-06 0.004335 0.005108 0.006011 0.007154 0.008572 0.010290 0.012553
2025-07-13 0.003809 0.004672 0.005732 0.007147 0.009011 0.011419 0.014821
2025-07-20 0.003506 0.004443 0.005643 0.007318 0.009638 0.012805 0.017574
2025-07-27 0.003188 0.004147 0.005416 0.007253 0.009909 0.013708 0.019749
2025-08-03 0.002949 0.003926 0.005257 0.007249 0.010240 0.014708 0.022187
2025-08-10 0.002726 0.003702 0.005065 0.007166 0.010429 0.015497 0.024388
2025-08-17 0.002572 0.003559 0.004972 0.007211 0.010805 0.016608 0.027277
2025-08-24 0.002404 0.003381 0.004809 0.007128 0.010960 0.017366 0.029654
2025-08-31 0.002222 0.003168 0.004575 0.006908 0.010862 0.017671 0.031234
2025-09-07 0.002107 0.003048 0.004474 0.006889 0.011095 0.018575 0.034099
2025-09-14 0.002058 0.003024 0.004519 0.007113 0.011768 0.020353 0.039034
2025-09-21 0.001930 0.002873 0.004355 0.006982 0.011814 0.021005 0.041834
2025-09-28 0.001810 0.002727 0.004193 0.006841 0.011832 0.021618 0.044706
2025-10-05 0.001727 0.002635 0.004112 0.006835 0.012101 0.022766 0.049057
2025-10-12 0.001681 0.002601 0.004124 0.006996 0.012712 0.024716 0.055823
2025-10-19 0.001601 0.002504 0.004022 0.006935 0.012868 0.025700 0.060348
2025-10-26 0.001537 0.002430 0.003953 0.006931 0.013138 0.026980 0.065996
2025-11-02 0.001466 0.002341 0.003852 0.006852 0.013240 0.027879 0.070794
2025-11-09 0.001419 0.002289 0.003813 0.006895 0.013609 0.029475 0.078114
2025-11-16 0.001357 0.002209 0.003719 0.006816 0.013698 0.030391 0.083575
2025-11-23 0.001283 0.002102 0.003567 0.006608 0.013469 0.030461 0.086296
2025-11-30 0.001238 0.002047 0.003509 0.006590 0.013683 0.031729 0.093497